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Critical Point/Point of No Return
Alexander Burton, CFI
Pacific Rim Aviation Academy Inc.
Pitt Meadows Regional Airport
393-11465 Baynes Road
Pitt Meadows, BC V3Y 2B4
“There is a point at which everything becomes simple and
there is no longer any
question of choice, because all you have staked will be lost
if you look back.”
- Dag Hammarskjold -
On every flight there are a couple important and often
neglected positions and times a
pilot might choose to have clear in his or her mind: the
Critical Point (CP) and the Point
of No Return (PNR).
The CP occurs at the moment when flight time to destination
and the flight time back to
base are the same; the PNR occurs when we will have just
sufficient fuel to return to
base.
On most hundred dollar hamburger or training flights, the CP
and the PNR are not very
significant; we normally have more than sufficient fuel and
range to accomplish our
flight, enjoy our meal or training session and make it
safely back to home base. On
longer, cross country flights, however, it might be an
excellent plan to have a clear idea
of where that CP or PNR will occur so decisions can be made
in a timely fashion to
prevent interesting but unwanted consequences.
When flying in no wind conditions along a straight track,
calculating our CP and PNR
positions is not particularly difficult. We can load our
required fuel plus reserve, take off
and fly toward our destination along our track knowing, as
long as we do not proceed
beyond the half way point, we should be able to make it back
to home base safely with
our reserve still sitting in the tanks.
Rarely, however, do we fly under such precise, laboratory
conditions.
We may encounter wind, turbulence or vertical air movement.
Our track may not lie
along a straight line. Our aircraft may be loaded with its
centre of gravity more forward
than ideal. We may not be flying a new, clean, freshly
polished aircraft. The aircraft may
have the odd dent or imperfection on its leading edges or
skin. We may have picked up
some number of splattered bugs on the leading edges,
windscreen, landing gear and
cowling. We may encounter an engine malfunction that reduces
available power resulting
in reduced airspeed.
In my experience, perfection is a rare thing on this planet.
If we are pushing anywhere
near the edges of our performance envelope, it’s an
excellent plan to err on the side of
safety rather than trust to hope and wishful thinking.
During private pilot training, most of us were trotted
through the lesson called “Range
and Endurance.” It is a lesson normally conducted during the
early phases of training and
may not have been given the emphasis it deserves. During
those early phases of flight
training many students, I was certainly one, lack the flight
or technical experience to fully
appreciate or understand the important concepts involved.
One of the basic ideas many of us will have retained from
the lesson, however, is that to
achieve maximum range with an aircraft we will have to fly
at reduced speed. With most
light aircraft, normal cruise is achieved within the 55% -
75% power range. The actual
RPM setting can be obtained from your POH and is dependent
on pressure altitude and
temperature.
For most flights there is very little if any benefit to
operating at reduced power; the cost
saving in fuel is quickly overtaken by the increased flight
time and all the costs involved
in maintenance. The nice people who manufacture Lycoming
engines recommend 65%
power for cruise to maximize engine longevity.
Commercial operators will almost always run their aircraft
at the high end of normal
cruise power saving both time and money.
If it becomes necessary to maximize our potential range,
however, a reduced power
setting is the way to go. A look at the range profile graph
in your aircraft’s POH will give
you some excellent guidance. For most light aircraft,
operating in the 45% - 55% power
range for the given pressure altitude and temperature
combined with correct leaning will
be suggested to maximize the distance you can fly.
On any given day, the aircraft’s range performance will be
affected by a number of
factors including: altitude, temperature, weight, centre of
gravity location, wind,
turbulence and the condition of the machine. Remember those
splattered bugs?
Without beating these factors into the ground, a higher
altitude will improve range: true
airspeed increases by approximately 2% per thousand feet due
to reduced parasite drag. A
lighter aircraft will have increased range due to a
reduction in induced drag: lower weight
requires a lower angle of attack at any given airspeed or
power setting.
An aft centre of gravity will improve range; headwind will
reduce range; turbulence will
reduce range and a dirty, dented, bug spattered machine will
have less range than its
cleaner, better kept sister.
Proper leaning procedures will also increase range, often
significantly. Many light
aircraft are not equipped with EGT or CHT gauges, so leaning
for best power is often
suggested: lean the engine until maximum RPM is achieved. If
your machine is equipped
with gauges for monitoring exhaust gas and cylinder head
temperatures, leaning for best
economy becomes more practical and the risk of running the
engine too lean and causing
damage is minimized.
So, let’s come back to our original question: how do we
determine our Critical Point, the
point at which it is just as quick and economical to carry
on rather than attempt to return
to base on a given flight and how do we determine our Point
of No Return?
Let’s imagine my friend and I decide to fly a C-172 from my
home base at Pitt Meadows,
BC (CYPK) to beautiful Lethbridge, Alberta (CYXD) a
direct-line distance of 388 NM.
We would like to spend one night in Lethbridge so we are
rested for the return flight. We
will have to carry some baggage as well as the required
survival equipment and supplies.
With two people, baggage and survival equipment aboard, we
can take off with full fuel
under gross weight. We won’t be carrying oxygen, so we will
need to stay at 10,000’ or
below. We may have to do a little dodging around some of the
higher peaks as we cross
the Rockies; that might add a few extra miles to the trip.
We’ll call it a total of 400 NM.
We consult the C-172 POH and determine, at 75% power, we
should be able to climb to
9500’ and fly 456 NM with a reserve of 45 minutes at 45%
power. We only need to fly
400 NM, god willing and the creek don’t rise. Good to go.
Comes the day of the flight and, after obtaining a good
flight briefing from FSS and
consulting the upper wind charts we find we will have a bit
of tailwind, typical for a
flight from West to East. We see at 9500’ our average
tailwind will be 30 Kts (1). We
should be in good shape. That extra help from the wind
should make the trip easy and
save some time.
Just to be on the safe side and for the fun of it, we decide
to calculate our CP and PNR.
We pull out our trusty copy of From the Ground Up and find
the correct formulas: for
Critical Point we use the formula P = (D x H) / (O + H) (2).
To find our time to turn
around, we use the formula: Time = P/G. For these formulas,
P is the critical point; D is
the total distance to fly; O is reduced ground speed
outbound; H is reduced groundspeed
home; and G is the groundspeed outbound. Let’s plug in our
numbers and see how it all
looks.
Half way, in terms of distance, will be around the 200 NM
point. Lots of time and
distance to consider our options.
According to our POH, in no wind and standard temperature
conditions at 75% power,
we can expect a TAS of about 120 Kts. at 9500’. With that
nice 30 Kt. tailwind, our
ground speed will be 150 Kts. At a reduced power setting,
the power setting for best
range, we can expect a TAS of around 103 Kts, giving us a
ground speed outbound of
133 Kts. and a return ground speed of 73 Kts.
To mitigate the effects of wind on the return flight, we
might want to increase our
reduced return speed somewhat. The Rule of Thumb is to
increase the best range speed
by 10% to reduce exposure time. So, to keep the math simple,
we’ll say our return ground
speed at reduced power will be 80 Kts.
Using our handy formula we determine our Critical Point is
150 NM from home base and
the time to make a decision to return to home base must be
made no later 1 hour into the
flight (3). If our aircraft isn’t new, or hasn’t had its new
paint job washed and polished
recently, we might want to revise that 150 NM and 1 hour
down a touch, just to be on the
safe side (4).
Let’s see what happens when we compute our PNR, the point
beyond which we will not
have sufficient fuel to return to base. Perhaps, not such an
important number for this
flight, but if we were flying out over water or in the far
north where alternates are few
and far between, it might become very useful information.
With full fuel at 75% power, according to the endurance
chart in the POH, we will have
just a touch more than 4 hours flight time, not counting
reserve. We can say our time out
plus our time back must be less than or equal to 4 hours and
work from there.
Remembering that speed times time equals distance and
distance outbound must equal
distance back to base, we can set up a simple equation:
speed outbound times time
outbound is equal to speed inbound times time inbound. Using
the same TAS, 120 Kts.,
for both legs of the trip: [150t = 90(4 – t)].
Time outbound is 1.5 hours, one hour and 30 minutes. Time
for return is 2.5 hours, two
hours and 30 minutes. To have sufficient fuel to return to
base, we must turn around at or
before 1.5 hours into the flight, approximately 225 NM from
home base. Reducing speed
for the return journey will give us a bit more range, but
let’s not put too fine a point on
the problem. A bit of extra fuel to cover contingencies is
all to the good.
Landing with nothing more than minimal reserve sloshing in
the tanks is not a stress
reducing experience.
Everything looks good, however. We appear to have sufficient
fuel to make the trip in
one hop with extra to spare; there are several alternate
destinations enroute and we know
when and where we are actually half way in terms of distance
and flight time so we can
make the decision to return home, if required.
We did discover an interesting fact, however: hanging on to
the assumption that half way
is half way could have put us in an awkward position. Under
the conditions described, it
turns out we actually have a fairly short period of time in
which to make the decision
whether or not we can return to home base.
Half way in terms of distance isn’t necessarily half way in
terms of time. The delightful
tailwind that will provide us so much help toward our
destination all of a sudden becomes
quite a barrier to our return home and our decision to
return, if required, must be made
fairly early into the trip.
Many pilots enjoy taking long cross country flights. It’s a
great way to see the country
and experience the joys of flight. It is a good idea,
however, to be clear about both our
potentials and our limitations so we can make informed and
intelligent decisions and
continue to experience the joys of flight, keeping our
stress levels and our unexpected
and unplanned adventures to a minimum.
Enjoy.
Notes:
1. Just to keep the math simple, we’ll assume a constant
wind direction and strength and a straight-line
track. With more realistic conditions, we might expect winds
with some degree of cross-track component
both outbound and on return and would have to factor them
into our calculations.
2. This formula is often applied to calculate the Critical
Point for twin engine aircraft in the event an engine
is lost and the machine must return to base at reduced
airspeed, approximately 60% of normal cruise
speed. It can also be applied toward the single engine
aeroplane scenario when reduced airspeed is used
to increase range or reduced airspeed results from other
possible reasons: i.e. magneto failure or other
malfunctions that may produce reduced speed.
3. P = (D x H) / (O + H). In our case P = (400 x 80) / (133
+ 80) = 150.23 NM. Time is P/G or 150.23/150
= 1.0015 hrs., one hour and .09 minutes.
4. If we stick to our original cruise power setting, giving
us 120 Kts TAS both ways, we find that P = (400
x 90) / (150 + 90) = 150.00 NM. Time = 150/150 = 1 hour.
Pretty much the same conclusion: if we fly
past our Critical Point, 150 NM, considerably less than half
way in terms of distance, it becomes a longer
trip back to our home base than it would be to continue to
our original destination. The only benefit we
derive from reducing airspeed and power for the return flight is fuel
savings.
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